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    <title>Auteurs : Viveca Asproth</title>
    <link>https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=1824</link>
    <description>Publications of Auteurs Viveca Asproth</description>
    <language>fr</language>
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      <title>Soft Early Warning for Regional Security</title>
      <link>https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=4707</link>
      <description>In this paper we will discuss security in functional regions that are divided between two or more nations. Awareness and preparation requires some sort of warning mechanism making it possible for the people in the region to become aware and to prepare themselves for upcoming emergency situations. As both the disaster indicators and the crisis to come are both fuzzy and unknown, we will speak about Soft Early Waming Systems (SEWS). In SEWS each individual living in a region will act as a networked human anticipatory emergency sensor and actor. Our conception of such a regional security SEWS is given in the form of an idealised design called the netAgora portal. After discussing the broad lines of the netAgora design this paper will be focusing on the key role anticipatory modelling and simulation may play in a tool for developing a SEWS capacity for handling transnational complex emergencies and disasters. </description>
      <pubDate>Mon, 14 Oct 2024 16:44:43 +0200</pubDate>
      <lastBuildDate>Thu, 17 Oct 2024 12:02:38 +0200</lastBuildDate>
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      <title>Simulation of Accessibility in Crisis Management</title>
      <link>https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=4622</link>
      <description>To route the rescue service, the police and the ambulance during an emergency event, the command and control units need information about accessibility. When two countries are involved in the rescue work there is also a possibility to send rescue help from either country, which complicates the situation but of course gives a great opportunity. Good predictions for when rescue service are to appear at the scene of the emergency and from where to send them are of great importance. Different actions are to be taken due to the waiting time. Accessibility is a complex term which is further elaborated and conceptualized in the paper. The paper also presents tentative results for how to conceptualize and simulate accessibility in this crisis management setting. The results are based on empirical data from the region involved in the GSS project. </description>
      <pubDate>Mon, 14 Oct 2024 15:30:10 +0200</pubDate>
      <lastBuildDate>Mon, 14 Oct 2024 15:30:20 +0200</lastBuildDate>
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      <title>New Approaches to Soft Anticipatory Design for Spatial Decision Support System</title>
      <link>https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=3131</link>
      <description>The human management of geographical space is far from perfect. Factors that aggravate the situation may be found in the planning and decision support systems applied for managing decisions and actions concerning geographical space. A majority of those support systems are based on the reactive paradigm (Rosen, 1985) and the classical two-valued logic of an abstracted and idealised world (Kosko, 1993). So far, modern research in anticipatory computing, fuzzy logic and soft systems design unfortunately has not, to any significant extent, been applied in geographical management systems. The purpose of the work, reported in this paper, is to present some ideas {br a model for management of common regional resources, based on anticipation, soft systems design and systemic spatial modelling. </description>
      <pubDate>Mon, 09 Sep 2024 11:10:47 +0200</pubDate>
      <lastBuildDate>Tue, 08 Oct 2024 13:25:03 +0200</lastBuildDate>
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      <title>Organizational Learning for Viable Inter-organizations</title>
      <link>https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=2831</link>
      <description>To work against threats and to obtain new possibilities, new forms of inter-organizational collaborations are formed. Established models of organizational control are insufficient to cope with the management of such complex situations. The management literature deals mainly with one single organization although aspects of collaborative processes are discussed. Organizational learning is recommended as a tool to in the first place develop an intercultural communication competence, but also as a complement to learn more about each other. The question is how to transfer the concept to inter-organizations. The viability of an inter-organization is depending on the ability to work as a team, learn from each other and adapt to new situations. In this paper problems and possibilities with inter-organizational management and organizational learning are discussed. </description>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Sep 2024 14:59:16 +0200</pubDate>
      <lastBuildDate>Tue, 03 Sep 2024 14:59:27 +0200</lastBuildDate>
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      <title>Simulations of Highly Complex Social Systems as a Tool for Designing Information Systems</title>
      <link>https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=2689</link>
      <description>When designing information systems, it would be good to be able to compare alternatives. However, information systems are complex phenomena as they encompass the humans involved in distributing the information. One possible way of making comparisons would be through simulation. Having constructed a prototype for such a simulation we have seen that the traditional approaches, such as Cellular Automata utilized within the social simulations field are usable but not sufficient. However, the newer agent-based approaches show more promise. We conclude that in order to make simulations of our kind possible, the new technologies, such as multi-agant systems, need be adapted and extended. One of the pieces missing is an agent-based infrastructure building on anticipatory principles for agent information behavior. </description>
      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Aug 2024 11:09:22 +0200</pubDate>
      <lastBuildDate>Mon, 07 Oct 2024 15:49:09 +0200</lastBuildDate>
      <guid isPermaLink="true">https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=2689</guid>
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      <title>Simulation and Anticipation in Critical Situations Caused by Flooding</title>
      <link>https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=2458</link>
      <description>Globally flooding is one of the natural catastrophes that every year causes most victims and the greatest economical effects. In Sweden and other European countries death caused by flooding is relatively unusual, but the damages in tangible assets and the cost for the society are considerable. In case of flooding many authorities and organizations become involved and there is a problern to take in the whole situation and have a common picture when many incidents happen at the same time. There is also a lack of efficient tools showing critical buildings and constructions such as roads, railroads, water-purifying plant, etc, in combination with actual and forecasted water levels. In this paper we discuss anticipation of critical factors to be included in a model for visualization of situations caused by flooding. </description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 22 Aug 2024 09:24:10 +0200</pubDate>
      <lastBuildDate>Thu, 22 Aug 2024 09:24:17 +0200</lastBuildDate>
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      <title>Multi-actor Dimensions and Cross System Levels Considerations in Spatial Decision Support</title>
      <link>https://popups.uliege.be/3041-539x/index.php?id=1823</link>
      <description>The spatial dimension of human settlements and establishments raises special decision problems in planning situations. Often there are multitudes of different criteria that have to be considered. Real world phenomena, in opposite to phenomena of an idealised mathematical or abstract world, are often vague, contradictory, and incomprehensible. Further, decisions about our physical environment often are of a multi criteria nature. We have in earlier research developed and tested the Ordered Weighted Average Procedure (OWA-procedure) for decision support in complex localisation decisions in physical planning outgoing from the basic methodologies for a multi criteria fuzzv decision support that already have been developed. However, the OWA-procedure in its current form is not able to capture the full complexitv of most real decision situations. Some shortcomings of the OWA-procedure are its inability to consider several interesting parts and combine criteria from different system levels. For example, a location which is verv suitable for an individual land owner or establisher may have severe drawbacks from the point of view of others stakeholders or even the whole community. In order to make OWA more suitable for those common situations the prototype is extended with functions for averaging between different value sets and cross level impact analysis. </description>
      <pubDate>Wed, 17 Jul 2024 09:15:50 +0200</pubDate>
      <lastBuildDate>Wed, 17 Jul 2024 09:15:59 +0200</lastBuildDate>
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